- Expert surveys set median AI extinction risk at 5% from 2,778 researchers.
- Hinton estimates 10% chance of AI-caused extinction in coming decades.
- Crypto Fear & Greed Index drops to 21 on April 14, 2026, amid AI fears.
Visualizing AI Extinction Probabilities from AI Impacts' 2024 survey of 2,778 researchers shows a median 5% human extinction risk, interquartile range 2-10%. A suspect attacked OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's home on April 14, 2026 per CNBC. Crypto Fear & Greed Index fell to 21, extreme fear via CoinMarketCap.
AI Extinction Risk Highlights
- Expert surveys set median AI extinction risk at 5% from 2,778 researchers.
- Hinton estimates 10% chance of AI-caused extinction in coming decades NeurIPS 2024 keynote.
- Crypto Fear & Greed Index drops to 21 on April 14, 2026, amid AI fears CoinMarketCap.
Altman Attack Echoes AI Safety Warnings
The attacker mirrored warnings from AI pioneers. Geoffrey Hinton, 'Godfather of AI,' estimated 10% extinction risk in his NeurIPS 2024 keynote. Roman Yampolskiy, University of Louisville AI safety director, rates p(doom) above 99% AI Safety Newsletter.
AI Impacts' survey queried researchers on misalignment outcomes. Respondents reported median 5% extinction probability. Dataset spans machine learning experts, sample size 2,778, collected 2024.
Bitcoin traded at $74,334 USD on April 14, 2026, up 4.7% year-to-date, not seasonally adjusted CoinMarketCap. Ethereum reached $2,362.10 USD, up 7.6% year-to-date.
Power BI users import the CSV directly. They apply filters for expertise levels and confidence scores.
Scatter Plots Reveal Risk Distributions
Scatter plots display estimate variance from AI Impacts dataset. X-axis: expertise level (novice to expert, linear scale). Y-axis: extinction probability (0-100%, linear). Blue marks academia; red marks industry. Bubble size scales with self-reported confidence.
Stephen Few's data-ink ratio guides design to cut chartjunk. In Tableau, drag expertise to columns, probability to rows. Add color and size marks. Publish to Tableau Server for sharing.
XRP traded at $1.37 USD, up 2.4% year-to-date. BNB hit $613.33 USD, up 2.4% CoinMarketCap. Markets largely ignored AI headlines.
Small Multiples Track Median Trends
Small multiples chart median extinction risks over time. AI Impacts surveys: 2022 median 3%, 2023 at 4%, 2024 at 5%. Each panel uses identical line chart scales, linear axes.
Build one Tableau sheet per year. Grid them in a dashboard. Add median reference lines. Embed sparklines for year-over-year changes.
Edward Tufte praises small multiples for pattern detection. Reject 3D pie charts; they distort via perspective—use sorted bar charts instead for part-to-whole.
Yann LeCun, Meta AI chief, claims 0.01% risk X post, 2024. Scatter plots identify him as low-end outlier.
Dashboards Integrate AI Risks and Markets
Dashboards combine survey data with financial feeds. Power BI joins AI Impacts CSV to CoinMarketCap APIs. Fear & Greed Index at 21 correlates with AI mentions on X.
Use gauge charts for Fear & Greed scores (0-100 scale, linear). Bar charts show risk medians by year. Avoid dual-axis lines for Bitcoin prices vs. risks; mismatched scales deceive.
Looker Studio connects Google Sheets and Alpha Vantage APIs for real-time refreshes.
Heatmaps Expose Consensus Gaps
Heatmaps aggregate risks by survey year from AI Impacts data. Rows: years 2022-2024. Columns: probability buckets (0-10%, 10-50%, 50-100%). Sequential color ramp: green low-consensus to red high-risk tails.
D3.js enables hover details. Plotly suits Python apps. Seaborn drives Streamlit dashboards.
Sam Altman discussed risks in his 2023 OpenAI blog OpenAI Blog. OpenAI funds safety research.
Bullet Charts Track Safety Benchmarks
Bullet charts measure alignment progress. Black bar: actual Epoch AI compute scores; gray target band: safety thresholds Epoch AI, data through 2024.
Stephen Few invented bullet charts for KPIs. Tableau parameters support what-if analysis on risk mitigations.
Datasets Enable Custom Visualizations
AI Impacts dataset offers 2,778 rows on extinction scenarios. Filter p(doom) columns. Power BI handles imports on 16GB RAM systems. Schedule GitHub repo refreshes.
Add slicers for risk thresholds. Model mitigations reducing odds below 10%.
Visualizing AI Extinction Probabilities highlights persistent 5% median risk. Safety advances and compute trends Epoch AI] will shape future surveys.
